Assalamu^alaikum, what is the method of your study? and what^s the benefit
from your study in case of the covid pandemy now a days? is there any
suggestion from your study to the next study, may be?
Replies:
This research is applied OLS and GIS. The benefit is We can predicts
where Coronavirus will spread in Indonesia if without strong
intervention to prevent it.
As examples, the positve cases in terms of absolute or density cases
per km squared would be higher in regencies and municipalities with
higher population, people welfare and GRDP. However, the death
numbers might be larger in regions with greater poverty rates.
From this research, I suggest to study the Covid-19 spreads at
village or urban village in a city or regency to find the tranmission
patterns in small area.
Absolutely, low covid-19 tests (Swab and PCR test) affect to low
positive cases. Other impact is low testing will lead to high positive
rates.
However this doesn^t have relationship with economic size and
people welfare rates, but depenting on policies in those regions that
could be exisetd in pilkada period.