The Pattern of Covid-19 Spreads and Its Relationship with Population, People Welfare and Economic Size: Case Study of Indonesia Hidayatullah Muttaqin
Jurusan Ilmu Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan
Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Universitas Lambung Mangkurat
Abstract
INTRODUCTION
Indonesia has passed a semester of Covid-19 pandemic since the first cases in March. The number of infected population have been reached more than 300 thousand with death toll is over 10 thousand. Indonesia^s daily average of confirmed Covid-19 is increased from 998 cases in June to 3,740 cases in September. The growing Covid-19 may relate with new normal strategy. This policy has been introduced by Government of Indonesia since June to accommodate economic activities during pandemic.
PURPOSE
The objective of this study is to understand the pattern of Covid-19 spreads in Indonesia and to find out the impacts of Population Density, Human Development Index, Household Expenditure per Capita, Poverty, and Gross Regional Domestic Bruto on Covid-19 Density in Indonesia at municipality and regency level.
METHOD
This study is applied descriptive spatial analysis by using GIS tool and OLS regession. The source of data are Badan Pusat Statistik or BPS and Kawalcovid19.id.
MAIN FINDING
Higher population density, Human Development Index, Household Expenditure per Capita, and Gross Regional Domestic Bruto could be drive up Covid-19 spreads while poverty has a contrary effect.
IMPLICATION
This finding point outs that Covid-19 spreads are influenced by population, people welfare and economic size. These factors also indicate that Government of Indonesia needs to manage population mobilities to reduce Covid-19 spreads. If there is no treatment to restrict people movement, the Covid-19 spreads tend to still growing in region that has high population, welfare and economic size.
Keywords: Covid-19, Population, People Welfare, Economic
