Land Cover Change Modelling to Identify Critical Land in Ciletuh Geopark Tourism Area, Palabuhanratu, Sukabumi Regency. Rizky Amellia Putri and S. Supriatna
Departement of Geography, Faculty of Mathematic and Natural Sciences, Universitas
Indonesia.
Abstract
Ciletuh Geopark is one of the tourist attractions that recognized by UNESCO as one of the Global Geopark located in Sukabumi Regency, West Java, which is one of the most visited tourist destinations because of its beauty and role of knowledge development. It caused Geopark Ciletuh got significant growth in facilities and accessibility aspect which generate land cover change that triggers the critical land. This study aims to analyze the land cover change in Ciletuh Geopark until 2030 to identify critical land. The method that used in this study is Cellular Automata-Markov Chain to detect land cover change and predict its change in future with several driving factor which build based on fuzzy logic, and the variable contains proximity to the road, the settlement, the coastline, slope, and population density. Land cover map obtained processing Landsat 7 ETM+ and Landsat 8 OLI/TIRS 2010, 2015, and 2020. The results of this study prove that land cover changes are mainly due to the need for housing and facilities to support tourism activities. This research had expected to become a medium that will move the government and local people to make the land had used well, and still be the sustainable global geopark.
Keywords: Cellular Automata-Markov Chain, Landcover Change, Critical Land
